Just for fun

Written SH on 2023-12-19.

Tagged remark economy society future2024 horizon2024

Thinking of the future

Futures thinking empowers us to actively engage with tomorrow's challenges and opportunities, acting as a blueprint to craft and influence the future landscape.

Applied Futures Thinking Horizon 1

Being “right” in futures thinking holds no guarantee of future success; instead, it’s the adaptability to navigate uncertainties that proves pivotal in shaping outcomes. We offer these predictions for 2024, written 2023-12-16, just for interest.

It is the glory of God to conceal things, but the glory of kings is to search things out. Proverbs 25:2

Geopolitics and Security

  • Ukraine does something early spring outside of Western orthodoxy if unsuccessful Russian advances to the Dnipro River.
  • Israel occupies Gaza but fails to improve quality of life stoking dispute.
  • Trump fails to gain republican nomination, runs as independent and leads to democratic victory.
  • China feints towards Taiwan due to internal economic situation.

Energy and Environmental Sustainability

  • Renewable deployment and supporting storage infrastructure will appear stalled due to culture war around elections, but rapid deployments will occur regardless of outcomes at the end of the year.
  • No meaningful progress to net zero will be made due to ongoing conflicts.

Education and Technology

  • After AI interfered election life long learning will be prioritised as citizenery is overwhelemed.
  • An apparent AGI will emerge, and employment disruption will begin through the middle classes.
  • The pursuit of Space will continue with militarisation occurring.

UK Economy and Society

  • UK productivity will continue to falter, inflation will further erode sterling.
  • UK Intrest rates will fall mid summer and then elevate towards the end of the year.
  • UK parliamentary elections occur autumn 2024 with Starmer winning and leading a coaltion government.
  • The formation of a post AGI economy begins with a universal services approach to electricity and water.

Opportunities Tenth Person

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About TPEX

TPEX thinks about the future.