Just for fun

Written SH on 2024-12-16.

Tagged remark economy society future2025 horizon2025

About futures thinking

Futures thinking acts as a navigational compass rather than a crystal ball. It doesn't predict the future but equips us with tools to explore, anticipate, and adapt to potential scenarios. It's akin to plotting multiple paths on a map, preparing for various outcomes based on informed insights and trends. This approach guides us in understanding possibilities, mitigating risks, and making informed decisions to shape a desired future rather than passively predicting it.

Applied Futures Thinking Horizon 1

Being “right” in futures thinking holds no guarantee of future success; instead, it’s the adaptability to navigate uncertainties that proves pivotal in shaping outcomes. We offer these predictions for 2025, written 2024-12-16, just for interest.

It is the glory of God to conceal things, but the glory of kings is to search things out. Proverbs 25:2

Geopolitics and Security

  • Ukraine conflict remains active with increased asymetric elements in eastern regions
  • Israel continues to occupy Gaza and Lebanese’s boarders become increasingly fluid.
  • Trump presidency results in North Korean disengagement in Ukraine

Energy and Environmental Sustainability

  • Tilt towards renewable deployment accelerates as another expensive winter passes within the UK. Re-imaging of the UK energy market with time limited support for domestic gas indicated.
  • No meaningful progress to net zero will be made due to ongoing conflicts but extreme weather begins to challenge this stallement due to imapct on insurance industry.

Education and Technology

  • AI systems devalue education provoking confusion within citizenry and stoking a growing anti technology movement.
  • Employment disruption will begin through the middle classes provoked by finical down turn.
  • Society will begin to grapple with the near future potential of flight to space with a date set for humanity on Mars.

UK Economy and Society

  • UK productivity problem remains and economic downturn triggered by increased hollowing out of middle classes.
  • UK intrest rates will fall gradually before evelating to support sterling late summer.
  • Labour government remains in power througout the year.
  • The formation of a post AGI economy begins with a universal services approach to electricity, transport and water.

Opportunities Tenth Person

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About TPEX

TPEX thinks about the future.