Futures Thinking 2025 Horizon 2
Remarks from TPEX consultancy for decision makers.
into 2030
Written SH on 2024-12-16.
Tagged remark economy society future2025 horizon2025
Thinking of the future
Futures thinking empowers us to actively engage with tomorrow's challenges and opportunities, acting as a blueprint to craft and influence the future landscape.
Applied Futures Thinking Horizon 2
Accurate predictions in futures thinking don’t ensure success; it’s the agility to adjust and respond to evolving landscapes that truly determines future outcomes. We offer these predictions for 2030, written 2024-12-16, just for interest.
Geopolitics and Security
- Return to space transforms defence priorities and reopens MAD stalemate.
- Ukraine-Russia Dispute: Frozen conflict except for ongoing pressure over Crimea however likely to see resolution in the coming years.
- Taiwan’s Status: Remains independent but establishes significantly improved relations with mainland China.
- Petrochemical states struggles with decline in hydrocarbons
- Israel, Gaza conflict continues with less external influence as petro dollars begin decline.
- UK rejoining the EU become opposition party policy
A return to space in a more extensive way with transform geopoltics, there will some who belive there is a planet B. MAD will seam more fragile with more space based assets and humanity will be aiming for Mars, how does an interplanetary humanity operate?
Energy and Environmental Sustainability
- Renewable Energy: Significant investment and adoption of both solar and wind power sources continue with end date for residential domestic gas identified.
- Hydro storage for both water and power become prioritised due to dual role.
- Solid state batteries see first wide spread deployment in human mobile forms.
The incompatibility of abundant electricity, and neoliberal billing models, find resolution through fears over water scarcity due to limited hydro development. Globally this will prompt further people movments.
Education and Technology
- AI-mediated entertainment becomes the norm with individual tailored experiences being typical
- AR glass become normal with bold fashion, futuristic design choices popularised briefly.
- Teaching moves towards an AI first model.
Financial models, for product cycles and extractionary rent models face significant pressures as individual customers disappear behind AI mediated transactions.
UK Economy and Society
- Interest Rates: After fluctuations, interest rates stabilise at around 4%.
- Cost pressures by global competition provoke a re-imaging of middle management beginning to approach the UK productivity problem.
- Battery development alongside wind generation provide new export opportunities with push for sovereign wealth fund solution.
- Societal fractures begin to resolve at society steps back from the abyss with effective UBI and US deployed as society increasing looks to space.
Opportunities Tenth Person
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Tenth Person
TPEX Tenth person consultancy aims to give you confidence that you have considered the complete picture by challenging leadership teams. Where employees agree you expect us to disagree! If you are concerned that group think may be causing you to miss business opportunities or that risks to the business may be unidentified we aim to help you explore issues more fully.
About TPEX
TPEX offers future imagining and tenth person consultancy for decision makers looking to consider the future, before opportunities are missed. We offer online and in-person consultancy to help your business make informed decisions about the future.