Insights
Insights from TPEX consultancy for decision makers.
Futures Thinking 2025
Monday 16 December 2024
As the year 2025 unfolds, the global political terrain presents a deceptively quiescent facade, characterised by a notable absence of major national elections in several significant world powers. This apparent...
The future on Mars
Wednesday 30 October 2024
This series is inspired by the following remarks in a post by Elon Musk regarding SpaceX on 2024-09-22. SpaceX plans to launch about five uncrewed Starships to Mars in two...
Misinformation and Disinformation risk 2024
Friday 12 January 2024
In examining global risks, it’s crucial to recognize the interconnected nature of challenges that transcend borders. From environmental threats to economic vulnerabilities, understanding and addressing these issues is imperative for...
Stay Ahead, Stay Informed
Our Futurism Consultancy at TPEX assists businesses in anticipating future risks and opportunities. Our foresight equips you to make informed decisions, securing a prosperous path forward.
Futures Thinking 2024
Tuesday 19 December 2023
2024 promises to be a dramatic year. There is the potential for the liberal democracies to lack leadership at critical moments and consequently opportunities for authoritarian governments may occur. This,...
US Imagined in 2050
Monday 11 December 2023
The repercussions of Universal Services (US) would transcend economics, permeating the ethos of societal interactions. In this text we chose to imagine 2050 with US as a possible future with...
UBI Imagined in 2050
Monday 4 December 2023
The repercussions of UBI would transcend economics, permeating the ethos of societal interactions. In this text we chose to imagine 2050 with UBI as a possible future. Unlikely maybe, maybe...
Living Forever
Thursday 9 November 2023
Over the past half-century, remarkable advancements in medical science and improved social care have led to a consistent increase in global life expectancy. While this longevity is a testament to...
Prosperity, Wealth and Technology
Thursday 19 October 2023
The technological landscape in 2022 has evolved significantly from what it was in 2002, primarily due to the widespread and advanced use of the internet. In 2002, the internet was...
The 2023 UK National Risk Register
Friday 4 August 2023
The process of identifying risk is a diffcult undertaking. It involves a systematic analysis aimed at recognising potential threats and uncertainties that could impede the achievement of goals. Proactive assessment...
Guiding Businesses Through Tomorrow's Maze
TPEX Futurism Consultancy serves as a strategic compass, illuminating the uncharted territories of tomorrow for businesses. By envisioning multiple plausible futures, we unveil the potential obstacles and lucrative pathways ahead. Our detailed analyses and future scenario mapping not only mitigate risks but also unveil new vistas of opportunity. With our insights, businesses gain a strategic advantage, allowing them to adapt, innovate, and flourish amidst an ever-evolving landscape.
Landlord pressures and mortgage concentration risks
Thursday 8 June 2023
As the Bank of England continues to struggle to bring the UK inflation rate down towards its target the upward pressure on interest rates continues. Obviously as interest rates rise...
AGI Nuclear Dead Hand
Tuesday 6 June 2023
Since 1985 the USSR had the Perimeter system, similar in intended function to American ERCS (fully operational since 1968) to ensure the ability to command the launch of a second...
Threats to Citizens from Autonomous Vehicle
Tuesday 9 May 2023
Here we primarily consider autonomous vehicle as small car, taxi like replacements but they are deliberately referred to as autonomous vehicle to allow for more bigger vehicles to be imagined....
AI Confrontation
Tuesday 2 May 2023
The continued popular emergence of the machine learning models typically reported as AI continues. It is perhaps amusing that in the near future the topic will become so current it...
Worse Off
Friday 28 April 2023
Huw Pill was interviewed on Beyond Unprecedented S3 Ep4: Inflation: Not Dead Yet. You can listen or read the transcript here. It was interesting to hear his thoughts regarding the...
The dangers of AI
Tuesday 25 April 2023
Everyday new AI tools, arguably still mislabelled, are released exposing an ill prepared society for yet further inevitable disruption. In amongst such tools are demonstrations that make an important point...
Simulating humans in computers
Friday 14 April 2023
An interesting paper that illustrates the potential of generative agents. In this paper, we introduce generative agents—computational software agents that simulate believable human behavior. Park, J.S., 2023. Generative Agents: Interactive...
Remarks on The UK Science and Technology Framework 2023
Thursday 13 April 2023
The UK Science and Technology Framework provides an opportunity to see what the UK government currently is willing to highlight as potential technologies of interest and associated risk and opportunities....
Machine learning and propaganda generation a future of deception?
Friday 3 March 2023
I was greatly interested reading Goldstien’s recent paper on Generative Language Models and Automated Influence Operations: Emerging Threats and Potential Mitigations. I think his identification as to the potential risk...
Inflation as a risk to capitalism
Tuesday 21 February 2023
Internationally and certainly within the UK a significant topic of discourse is the ongoing cost of living crisis. Such matters, short term and occurring, are typically outside of the purview...
COP27 Time to get climate serious?
Tuesday 1 November 2022
As dignitaries and politicians meet for COP27 is provides an opportunity to take the temperature as to the seriousness of their intention to tackle the climate crisis. I deeply believe...
Should we imagine unlimited electricity?
Monday 24 October 2022
The perceived climate crisis combined with the cost of living crisis has resulted in an increased awareness as to the dependency and use of energy by businesses, citizens and government....
UK Economic Outlook
Thursday 20 October 2022
The finical situation of the UK has shifted dramatically over the last few weeks as a consequence of government action outside of finical orthodoxy. Interestingly perhaps the market failed to...
Immigration and teleportation
Thursday 22 September 2022
Science fiction has long imagined the emergence of teleportation technology allowing the movement of objects and people to occur between locations instantaneously. This technology remains imagined but is still explored....
Hydrogen for residential heating
Monday 29 August 2022
As the energy crisis of autumn 2022 continues to present in stark relief it is unsurprising that a variety of long-term solutions are presented and all potential solutions should be...
UK Economic Outlook
Wednesday 24 August 2022
Dembik of Saxo Markets has an interesting article about the potentially of the UK economy in the comming years. We broadly agree with his remarks and are using this to...
OFGEM price cap choices
Tuesday 23 August 2022
The OFGEM price cap is due to be announced at the end of August 2022. It does not cap bills but rather sets the standing charge and unit cost for...
UK Energy future
Monday 22 August 2022
Over the last few years much government work has been invested though perhaps not clearly communicated regarding the likely future of the UK energy mix. It perhaps could be summarised...
New Statesman warning of a UK housing crash
Friday 19 August 2022
There is yet further evidence that the financial sector accepts no boundary in its search for financial alchemy for its own benefit. Proposed as a tool to enable affordability long-term...
Heating or Eating
Thursday 18 August 2022
The response to the long indicated energy price crisis is currently stalled, due to the on going Conservative party leadership contest. This provides interesting pressure into thinking as the metrics...
Win as one
Thursday 11 August 2022
Talk of a progressive alliances within the UK to oppose conservative governments are fairly common. Especially when mid parliament as we perhaps are now. The victory of the progressive alliance...
We have been extraordinarily lucky so far.
Wednesday 10 August 2022
In his recent speech to the Tenth Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons the UN Secretary-General gave a rather solemn assessment as...
Climate Endgame
Tuesday 9 August 2022
The climate crisis in relevant to both imaging a framework for the future and identifying near term future risks. It is possible that the risk posed by climate change is...
IndyRef2 Defining the UK
Tuesday 14 March 2017
The SNPs call for another independence referendum was always going to be inevitable following the result of the EU referendum. In the first independence referendum, the argument was propagated that...
Early thoughts on the framework that leaves spooks driving the car.
Saturday 11 March 2017
With the recent WikiLeaks publication of Vault7 we, as the public, have again achieved a glimpse of the ambitions and capabilities of the security services, to keep us safe. If...
Uber a Model of the Future Dystopian Employer
Saturday 25 February 2017
Uber, the riding sharing company, has recently under gone a run of bad publicity. Ok so maybe thats a understatement as #DeleteUber continues to trend. But are these perhaps just...
Fixing Our Broken Housing Market
Wednesday 8 February 2017
With the release of yesterdays Housing White paper complete with a policy paper entitled Fixing our broken housing market is government about to take action? The paper is rather frank...
Boycotts in the Digital Age
Tuesday 7 February 2017
After considering possible effective methods of protest recently I was greatly intrigued to see the outbreak of #DeleteUber. The hash tag #DeleteUber was born out of perceived strike breaking by...
When Housing Fails.
Tuesday 20 December 2016
Currently (in 2016) rarely a day goes by without the continued coverage of the U.K. housing crisis and the ongoing failure of politics to address the problem. As the ongoing...
Mortgages without Jobs
Wednesday 4 May 2016
Much commentary on the current housing crisis is based solely on affordability both in terms of deposit and ongoing cost. While low inflation rates aid within ongoing affordability the increase...
What About Productivity?
Wednesday 28 October 2015
The UKs woeful productivity continues to enliven headline writers and prompt many discussions as to its cause and means by which it may be improved. While productivity may be a...
Trident A Pointless Toy
Friday 25 September 2015
With the presence of the SNP and now the Corbyn led Labour party within parliament once again the issue of the Trident replacement is becoming front page news. I have...
The Guardian on The End of Capitalism
Friday 17 July 2015
The Guardian has an interesting piece entitled, The end of capitalism has begun. It is well worth a read as it pulls together a number of ideas regarding the purpose...
Tenth Person
Tenth person consultancy aims to give you confidence that you have considered the complete picture by challenging leadership teams. Where employees agree you expect us to disagree! If you are concerned that group think may be causing you to miss business opportunities or that risks to the business may be unidentified we aim to help you explore issues more fully.
Future Imagining
How might the future impact your business and the sector, is it possible to know? We don't tell the future but we know how to think the unthinkable and imagine the near and far future for opportunity and risk. Ask us what opportunities we are currently imagining?
About TPEX
TPEX offers future imagining and tenth person consultancy for decision makers looking to consider the future, before opportunities are missed. We offer online and in-person consultancy to help your business make informed decisions about the future.